Promotion Decisions and the Adoption of Explicit Potential Assessment
Prof. Frank Moers
Summary (AI generated)
Promotions are not solely based on how fast someone works, but rather on whether they have the necessary skills for the next position. This is known as sorting. Promotions can either reward someone for their current performance or ensure the right person is placed in the right role. It is not just about effort, but about the ability and skill set of individuals.
Predictive validity is crucial in determining if a measure accurately predicts how someone will perform in the next position. For example, if someone is being promoted to a similar role with more decision-making responsibilities, their current performance is likely predictive of their future success. However, when moving into a role with different tasks, such as managerial responsibilities, other skills like leadership and communication become important.
While current performance can be somewhat indicative, subjective assessments are often necessary to determine how well someone will perform in a new position. This is why potential assessments are used in the promotion process.